Long-Term Predictions of Global Climate Using the Ocean Conveyor

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Many have attributed the Great Ocean Conveyor as a major driver of global climate change over millennia as well as a possible explanation for shorter (multidecadal) oscillations. The conveyor is thought to have a cycle time on the order of 1000 years, however recent research has suggested that it is much faster than previously believed (about 100 years). A faster conveyor leads to the possibility of the conveyor's role in even shorter oscillations such as the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The conveyor is primarily density driven. In this study the salty outflow of the … continued below

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26-32 p.

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Ray, P. & Wilson, J. R. January 1, 2003.

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This article is part of the collection entitled: Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports and was provided by the UNT Libraries Government Documents Department to the UNT Digital Library, a digital repository hosted by the UNT Libraries. It has been viewed 13 times. More information about this article can be viewed below.

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Many have attributed the Great Ocean Conveyor as a major driver of global climate change over millennia as well as a possible explanation for shorter (multidecadal) oscillations. The conveyor is thought to have a cycle time on the order of 1000 years, however recent research has suggested that it is much faster than previously believed (about 100 years). A faster conveyor leads to the possibility of the conveyor's role in even shorter oscillations such as the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The conveyor is primarily density driven. In this study the salty outflow of the Red Sea is used to predict its behavior ten years into the future. A successful model could lead to a long-term prediction (ten years) of El Ninos, Atlantic hurricane season intensity, as well as global temperature and precipitation patterns.

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26-32 p.

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  • Journal of Undergraduate Research, Volume 3, 2003

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  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 1051307
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc841200

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  • Publication Title: Journal of Undergraduate Research
  • Volume: 3
  • Page Start: 26
  • Page End: 32

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Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports

Reports, articles and other documents harvested from the Office of Scientific and Technical Information.

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI) is the Department of Energy (DOE) office that collects, preserves, and disseminates DOE-sponsored research and development (R&D) results that are the outcomes of R&D projects or other funded activities at DOE labs and facilities nationwide and grantees at universities and other institutions.

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  • January 1, 2003

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  • May 19, 2016, 9:45 a.m.

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  • June 18, 2020, 5:33 p.m.

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Ray, P. & Wilson, J. R. Long-Term Predictions of Global Climate Using the Ocean Conveyor, article, January 1, 2003; United States. (https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc841200/: accessed July 16, 2024), University of North Texas Libraries, UNT Digital Library, https://digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.

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