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Criteria for the PNE seismic network. [On-site inspection against clandestine operations]

Description: A 1976 treaty between the United States and the Soviet Union permits a local seismic network to be deployed at the site of a peaceful nuclear explosion to monitor the event. Criteria for the design and selection of the data-acquisition equipment for such a network are provided. Constraints imposed by the protocol of the treaty, the environment, and the expected properties of seismic signals (based on experiences at the Nevada Test Site) are discussed. Conclusions are drawn about the desired operating mode. Criteria for a general seismic instrumentation system are described.
Date: March 23, 1978
Creator: Pruvost, N.L. (comp.)
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Single-station locations of seismic events

Description: This report describes the progress being made in event location using a single 3-component station. In this study locations are obtained using a backazimuth determined by the particle motion of Pn and a distance determined by differential travel times between Pn, Pg, and Lg relative to a master event of known location. The data set used consists of the seismic signals from 11 nuclear events at the Nevada Test Site (NTS) and recorded at the four Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) seismic stations: Elko, Kanab, Landers, and Mina. The stations range from 230 km to 400 km away from the events. The local magnitude (M/sub L/) of the events range from 3.7 to 5.6 with the small events barely visible over the microseisms. All calculations and observations are made after the events have been filtered between 0.3 and 6 Hz. The results of this analysis show that backazimuth can be determined to within +- 5/sup 0/ of the true backazimuth, about 90% of the time, after systematic variations are taken out.
Date: November 19, 1982
Creator: Burr, N.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Preliminary code development for seismic signal analysis related to test ban treaty questions

Description: Forensic seismology, from a present day viewpoint, appears to be divided into several areas. Overwhelmingly important, in view of current Complete Test Ban (CTB) discussions, is the seismological study of waves generated in the earth by underground nuclear explosions. Over the last two decades intensive effort has been devoted to developing improved observational apparatus and to the interpretation of the data produced by this equipment. It is clearly desirable to extract the maximum amount of information from seismic signals. It is, therefore, necessary to quantitatively compare various modes of analysis to establish which mode or combination of modes provides the most useful information. Preliminary code development for application of some modern developments in signal processing to seismic signals is described. Applications of noncircular functions are considered and compared with circular function results. The second portion of the discussion concerns maximum entropy analysis. Lastly, the multivariate aspects of the general problem are considered.
Date: January 1, 1977
Creator: Brolley, J.E.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Lightning discrimination by a ground-based nuclear burst detection system

Description: Sandia Laboratories is developing for the U.S. Army a Ground-Based Nuclear Burst Detection System to provide pertinent information for its field commanders and higher authorities. The equipment must operate in all kinds of weather and produce very low false alarms under all types of conditions. With these requirements, a study of the effects during thunderstorms, which includes thousands of lightning flashes, was conducted. The results of these studies were that, with suitable discrimination, the system had no false alarms during a period of high thunderstorm activity in the Albuquerque area for the time from September 13 to October 3, 1977. Data and plots are included of those false alarms that were recorded before the final discriminants were implemented to provide an inventory of waveshapes for additional analysis.
Date: April 1, 1978
Creator: Thornbrough, A.D.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Seismic verification of underground explosions

Description: The first nuclear test agreement, the test moratorium, was made in 1958 and lasted until the Soviet Union unilaterally resumed testing in the atmosphere in 1961. It was followed by the Limited Test Ban Treaty of 1963, which prohibited nuclear tests in the atmosphere, in outer space, and underwater. In 1974 the Threshold Test Ban Treaty (TTBT) was signed, limiting underground tests after March 1976 to a maximum yield of 250 kt. The TTBT was followed by a treaty limiting peaceful nuclear explosions and both the United States and the Soviet Union claim to be abiding by the 150-kt yield limit. A comprehensive test ban treaty (CTBT), prohibiting all testing of nuclear weapons, has also been discussed. However, a verifiable CTBT is a contradiction in terms. No monitoring technology can offer absolute assurance that very-low-yield illicit explosions have not occurred. The verification process, evasion opportunities, and cavity decoupling are discussed in this paper.
Date: June 1, 1985
Creator: Glenn, L.A.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Processing of seismic signals for pattern recognition

Description: The study describes the preparation of seismic signals in order to identify the best technique for input to a pattern recognition scheme. The signal is first filtered with zero phase shift high and low pass Butterworth filters. It is then subjected to adaptive filtering and finally moving average filtering. Spectral decomposition in terms of circular functions is done via conventional Fourier and log P maximum entropy analysis. Spectral decomposition in terms of sequency functions, Walsh, and Chebyshev, is also performed. The Walsh decomposition is done with the conventional fast operator. The Chebyshev decomposition is done with an optimization procedure. Results, based on these various operations, are presented for an underground nuclear explosion and several earthquakes.
Date: January 1, 1978
Creator: Brolley, J.E.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Mining-induced seismicity at the Lucky Friday Mine: Seismic events of magnitude >2.5, 1989--1994

Description: An understanding of the types of seismic events that occur in a deep mine provides a foundation for assessing the seismic characteristics of these events and the degree to which initiation of these events can be anticipated or controlled. This study is a first step toward developing such an understanding of seismic events generated by mining in the Coeur d`Alene Mining District of northern Idaho. It is based on information developed in the course of a long-standing rock burst research effort undertaken by the U. S. Bureau of Mines in cooperation with Coeur d`Alene Mining District mines and regional universities. This information was collected for 39 seismic events with local magnitudes greater than 2.5 that occurred between 1989 and 1994. One of these events occurred, on average, every 8 weeks during the study period. Five major types of characteristic events were developed from the data; these five types describe all but two of the 39 events that were studied. The most common types of events occurred, on average, once every 30 weeks. The characteristic mechanisms, first-motion patterns, damage patterns, and relationships to mining and major geologic structures were defined for each type of event. These five types of events need to be studied further to assess their ability to camouflage clandestine nuclear tests as well as the degree to which they can be anticipated and controlled.
Date: September 1, 1996
Creator: Whyatt, J.K.; Williams, T.J.; Blake, W.; Sprenke, K. & Wideman, C.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Predictions of acoustic signals from explosions above and below the ocean surface: source region calculations

Description: In support of the Comprehensive Test Ban, research is underway on the long range propagation of signals from nuclear explosions in the deep underwater sound (SOFAR) channel. This first phase of our work at LLNL on signals in the source regions considered explosions in or above the deep (5000 m) ocean. We studied the variation of wave properties and source region energy coupling as a function of height or depth of burst. Initial calculations on CALE, a two-dimensional hydrodynamics code developed at LLNL by Robert Tipton, were linked at a few hundred milliseconds to a version of NRL`s weak shock code, NPE, which solves the nonlinear progressive wave equation. The wave propagation simulation was performed down to 5000 m depth and out to 10,000 m range. We have developed a procedure to convert the acoustic signals at 10 km range into `starter fields` for calculations on a linear acoustics code which will extend the propagation to ocean basin distances. Recently we have completed calculations to evaluate environmental effects (shallow water, bottom interactions) on signal propagation. We compared results at 25 km range from three calculations of the same I kiloton burst (50 m height-of-burst) in three different environments, namely, deep water, shallow water, and a case with shallow water sloping to deep water. Several results from this last `sloping bottom` case will be 2016 discussed below. In this shallow water study, we found that propagation through shallow water complicates and attenuates the signal; the changes made to the signal may impact detection and discrimination for bursts in some locations.
Date: December 1, 1996
Creator: Clarke, D.B.; Piacsek, A. & White, J.W.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Rummy high-altitude pressure measurements and analysis

Description: Five pressure-measurement canisters equipped with parachutes were deployed from an A7C aircraft on the Rummy test. Their altitudes above Yucca flat were over 8.5 km when the pressure pulse arrived. Three successful measurements were obtained. These time histories showed a more complicated behavior than histories obtained on Pahute Mesa tests because the Rummy event developed double spall closures over a large area. Excellent agreement was obtained between the observed pressure histories and those calculated from surface acceleration measurements. The Yucca Flat terrain was so level that pressure pulses were not appreciably changed or weakened by elevation differences.
Date: January 1, 1982
Creator: Banister, J.R. & Hereford, W.V.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Optimum frequencies for regional detection of cavity-decoupled explosions

Description: The natures of compressional (P) waves that originate in the crust, propagate in the crust and upper mantle, and are observed as Pg, Pn, and anti P waves at regional distances are examined. The discussion includes the observed variations of amplitude with epicentral distance for these waves as well as an estimate of values for the specific dissipation function Q/sub ..cap alpha../ in different regions. Studies were made on theoretical source and propagation functions for direct, reflected, and head waves as approximations for the observed Pg, anti P, and Pn, respectively. It was concluded that the classical (critically refracted) head wave is not very significant in regional observations, and that the related interference head wave and diving wave are more likely observed as Pn. Using an assumed seismic noise spectrum and the constant Q/sub ..cap alpha../ model for seismic attenuation, relations were derived for the frequencies corresponding to maximum signal-to-noise ratio for the classical and interference head waves and for the direct, reflected, and diving waves. The relations among seismic frequency, epicentral distance, anelastic attenuation, and explosion yield are illustrated for a simple source and propagation model.
Date: March 21, 1979
Creator: Rodean, H.C.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Spherical wave propagation in elastic media and its application to energy coupling for tamped and decoupled explosions

Description: The effects of variation in source and medium properties upon near- and far-field spectra for elastic waves are examined theoretically by considering spherical wave propagation in unbounded elastic media. This type of analysis, although idealized, provides insight into the relative effects of the various source and medium parameters on both tamped and decoupled explosions. It also provides a basis for interpreting both field and laboratory experimental data obtained during spherical wave propagation in real media. In this paper I attempt to unify the work that has been done on spherical wave propagation in elastic media. I present the results in nondimensional forms, in hopes that others may find these forms of the solutions useful and some of the conclusions, based upon my parameter studies, enlightening. Also included is a discussion of some of the limitations of the theory and examples of applications of the spherical wave propagation theory in real media.
Date: January 26, 1979
Creator: Larson, D.B.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Numerical model of electromagnetic scattering off a subterranean 3-dimensional dielectric

Description: As part of the effort to develop On-Site Inspection (OSI) techniques for verification of compliance to a Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), a computer code was developed to predict the interaction of an electromagnetic (EM) wave with an underground cavity. Results from the code were used to evaluate the use of surface electromagnetic exploration techniques for detection of underground cavities or rubble-filled regions characteristic of underground nuclear explosions.
Date: August 1, 1983
Creator: Dease, C.G. & Didwall, E.M.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Elements of a system for verifying a Comprehensive Test Ban

Description: The paper discusses the goals of a monitoring system for a CTB, its functions, the challenges to verification, discrimination techniques, and some recent developments. It is concluded technical, military and political efforts are required to establish and verify test ban treaties which will contribute to stability in the long term. It currently appears there will be a significant number of unidentified events. (ACR)
Date: March 6, 1987
Creator: Hannon, W.J.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Summary of monitoring station component evaluation project 2009-2011.

Description: Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) is regarded as a center for unbiased expertise in testing and evaluation of geophysical sensors and instrumentation for ground-based nuclear explosion monitoring (GNEM) systems. This project will sustain and enhance our component evaluation capabilities. In addition, new sensor technologies that could greatly improve national monitoring system performance will be sought and characterized. This work directly impacts the Ground-based Nuclear Explosion Monitoring mission by verifying that the performance of monitoring station sensors and instrumentation is characterized and suitable to the mission. It enables the operational monitoring agency to deploy instruments of known capability and to have confidence in operational success. This effort will ensure that our evaluation capabilities are maintained for future use.
Date: February 1, 2012
Creator: Hart, Darren M.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Initial CTBT international monitoring system security findings and recommendations

Description: An initial security evaluation of the proposed International Monitoring System (IMS) suggests safeguards at various points in the IMS to provide reliable information to the user community. Modeling the IMS as a network of information processing nodes provides a suitable architecture for assessing data surety needs of the system. The recommendations in this paper include the use of public-key authentication for data from monitoring stations and for commands issued to monitoring stations. Other monitoring station safeguards include tamper protection of sensor subsystems, preservation of data (i.e. short-term archival), and limiting the station`s network services. The recommendations for NDCs focus on the need to provide a backup to the IDC for data archival and data routing. Safeguards suggested for the IDC center on issues of reliability. The production of event bulletins should employ {open_quotes}two-man{close_quotes} procedures. As long as the data maintains its integrity, event bulletins can be produced by NDCs as well. The effective use of data authentication requires a sound key management system. Key management systems must be developed for the authentication of data, commands, and event bulletins if necessary. It is recommended that the trust placed in key management be distributed among multiple parties. The recommendations found in this paper offer safeguards for identified vulnerabilities in the IMS with regard to data surety. However, several outstanding security issues still exist. These issues include the need to formalize and obtain a consensus on a threat model and a trust model for the IMS. The final outstanding security issue that requires in-depth analysis concerns the IDC as a potential single point of failure in the current IMS design.
Date: August 1, 1996
Creator: Craft, R.L. & Draelos, T.J.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Final report on repair procedure of strong ground motion data from underground nuclear tests

Description: Certain difficulties arise when recording close-in around motion from underground nuclear explosions. Data quality can be compromised by a variety of factors, including electromagnetic pulse, noise spikes, direct current effect, and gauge clipping and gauge tilt. From March 1988 through September 1994, EG&G Energy Measurements repaired strong round-motion data (acceleration data) from underground nuclear tests for the Los Alamos National Laboratory using, an automated repair procedure. The automated repair determined and implemented the required repairs based on user input and a consistent set of criteria. A log was kept of each repair so that the repair procedure could be duplicated. This relaxed the requirement to save the repaired data. Developed for the VAX system, the procedure allowed the user to stack up a large number of repairs, plot the repaired data, and obtain hard copies. The plotted data could then be reviewed for a given test to determine the consistency of repair for a given underground test. This feature released the user to perform other tasks while the data were being repaired.
Date: April 1, 1995
Creator: Tunnell, T.W.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Rapid Deployment Drilling System for on-site inspections under a Comprehensive Test Ban Preliminary Engineering Design

Description: While not a new drilling technology, coiled-tubing (CT) drilling continues to undergo rapid development and expansion, with new equipment, tools and procedures developed almost daily. This project was undertaken to: analyze available technological options for a Rapid Deployment Drilling System (RDDS) CT drilling system: recommend specific technologies that best match the requirements for the RDDS; and highlight any areas where adequate technological solutions are not currently available. Postshot drilling is a well established technique at the Nevada Test Site (NTS). Drilling provides essential data on the results of underground tests including obtaining samples for the shot zone, information on cavity size, chimney dimensions, effects of the event on surrounding material, and distribution of radioactivity.
Date: September 1, 1996
Creator: Maurer, W.C.; Deskins, W.G.; McDonald, W.J.; Cohen, J.H.; Heuze, F.E. & Butler, M.W.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Modeling study of infrasonic detection of 1 kT atmospheric blast

Description: A modified version of the ``Pierce code``, which provides a theoretical prediction of acoustic-gravity pressure waveforms generated by explosions in the atmosphere, has been used to simulate detectable signal amplitudes from a 1 kT atmospheric detonation at high latitudes upton distances of about 1,000 kilometers from the source. Realistic prevailing winds and temperature profiles have been included in these simulations and propagation results for with wind and counter wind conditions are presented. En route, the code has been successfully ported from a CRAY/UNICOS platform to a more general UNIX/workstation environment in FORTRAN90. The effects of seasonal variations of winds and temperature at high latitudes will be presented at the symposium.
Date: December 31, 1998
Creator: Dighe, K.A.; Whitaker, R.W. & Armstrong, W.T.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

Statistical algorithms for a comprehensive test ban treaty discrimination framework

Description: Seismic discrimination is the process of identifying a candidate seismic event as an earthquake or explosion using information from seismic waveform features (seismic discriminants). In the CTBT setting, low energy seismic activity must be detected and identified. A defensible CTBT discrimination decision requires an understanding of false-negative (declaring an event to be an earthquake given it is an explosion) and false-position (declaring an event to be an explosion given it is an earthquake) rates. These rates are derived from a statistical discrimination framework. A discrimination framework can be as simple as a single statistical algorithm or it can be a mathematical construct that integrates many different types of statistical algorithms and CTBT technologies. In either case, the result is the identification of an event and the numerical assessment of the accuracy of an identification, that is, false-negative and false-positive rates. In Anderson et al., eight statistical discrimination algorithms are evaluated relative to their ability to give results that effectively contribute to a decision process and to be interpretable with physical (seismic) theory. These algorithms can be discrimination frameworks individually or components of a larger framework. The eight algorithms are linear discrimination (LDA), quadratic discrimination (QDA), variably regularized discrimination (VRDA), flexible discrimination (FDA), logistic discrimination, K-th nearest neighbor (KNN), kernel discrimination, and classification and regression trees (CART). In this report, the performance of these eight algorithms, as applied to regional seismic data, is documented. Based on the findings in Anderson et al. and this analysis: CART is an appropriate algorithm for an automated CTBT setting.
Date: October 1, 1996
Creator: Foote, N.D.; Anderson, D.N.; Higbee, K.T.; Miller, N.E.; Redgate, T.; Rohay, A.C. et al.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department

EMP on a NTS experiment

Description: This report is a compilation of two previous sets of pretest calculations, references 1 and 2 and the grounding and shielding report, reference 3. The calculations performed in reference 1 were made for the baseline system, with the instrumentation trailers not isolated from ground, and wider ranges of ground conductivity were considered. This was used to develop the grounding and shielding plan included in the appendix. The final pretest calculations of reference 2 were performed for the modified system with isolated trailers, and with a better knowledge of the ground conductivity. The basic driving mechanism for currents in the model is the motion of Compton electrons, driven by gamma rays, in the air gaps and soil. Most of the Compton current is balanced by conduction current which returns directly along the path of the Compton electron, but a small fraction will return by circuitous paths involving current flow on conductors, including the uphole cables. The calculation of the currents is done in a two step process -- first the voltages in the ground near the conducting metallic structures is calculated without considering the presence of the structures. These are then used as open circuit drivers for an electrical model of the conductors which is obtained from loop integrals of Maxwell`s equations. The model which is used is a transmission line model, similar to those which have been used to calculate EMP currents on buried and overhead cables in other situations, including previous underground tests, although on much shorter distance and time scales, and with more controlled geometries. The behavior of air gaps between the conducting structure and the walls of the drift is calculated using an air chemistry model which determines the electron and ion densities and uses them to calculate the air conductivity across the gap.
Date: October 15, 1991
Creator: Gilbert, J.; van Lint, V. & Sherwood, S.
Partner: UNT Libraries Government Documents Department