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Estimating Safety Probabilities from Fallout Forecasts for Nevada Test Site

Description: Abstract: "Available data on wind persistence and wind forecasting capability have been applied in estimating the probability of a fallout pattern shifting from an uninhabited safe sector into a populated region. Safety probability is computed from win variability, forecasting accuracy, initial height and particle size of radioactivity landing at a point in the predicted fallout pattern, predicted wind speed, length of forecast period, and safe-sector angular width."
Date: July 1, 1960
Creator: Reed, Jack W.

A Study of Nevada Test Site Wind Variability

Description: Abstract: "Wind observations collected at Yucca Flat since 1951 are analyzed for timewise variability. Variability functions of altitude, season, wind speed, and vector wind are described. Derived variability parameters are incorporated into calculations of fallout safety probability for NTS operations."
Date: July 1, 1960
Creator: Reed, Jack W.