Multi-path transportation futures study : vehicle characterization and scenario analyses.

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Projecting the future role of advanced drivetrains and fuels in the light vehicle market is inherently difficult, given the uncertainty (and likely volatility) of future oil prices, inadequate understanding of likely consumer response to new technologies, the relative infancy of several important new technologies with inevitable future changes in their performance and costs, and the importance - and uncertainty - of future government marketplace interventions (e.g., new regulatory standards or vehicle purchase incentives). This Multi-Path Transportation Futures (MP) Study has attempted to improve our understanding of this future role by examining several scenarios of vehicle costs, fuel prices, government subsidies, ... continued below

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Plotkin, S. E.; Singh, M. K.; Systems, Energy; Engineering, TA & ORNL December 3, 2009.

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Description

Projecting the future role of advanced drivetrains and fuels in the light vehicle market is inherently difficult, given the uncertainty (and likely volatility) of future oil prices, inadequate understanding of likely consumer response to new technologies, the relative infancy of several important new technologies with inevitable future changes in their performance and costs, and the importance - and uncertainty - of future government marketplace interventions (e.g., new regulatory standards or vehicle purchase incentives). This Multi-Path Transportation Futures (MP) Study has attempted to improve our understanding of this future role by examining several scenarios of vehicle costs, fuel prices, government subsidies, and other key factors. These are projections, not forecasts, in that they try to answer a series of 'what if' questions without assigning probabilities to most of the basic assumptions.

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  • Report No.: ANL/ESD/09-5
  • Grant Number: DE-AC02-06CH11357
  • DOI: 10.2172/968962 | External Link
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 968962
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc927105

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Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports

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  • December 3, 2009

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • Nov. 13, 2016, 7:26 p.m.

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  • Oct. 4, 2017, 2:19 p.m.

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Plotkin, S. E.; Singh, M. K.; Systems, Energy; Engineering, TA & ORNL. Multi-path transportation futures study : vehicle characterization and scenario analyses., report, December 3, 2009; United States. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc927105/: accessed October 23, 2017), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.