Aggregate vehicle travel forecasting model

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Description

This report describes a model for forecasting total US highway travel by all vehicle types, and its implementation in the form of a personal computer program. The model comprises a short-run, econometrically-based module for forecasting through the year 2000, as well as a structural, scenario-based longer term module for forecasting through 2030. The short-term module is driven primarily by economic variables. It includes a detailed vehicle stock model and permits the estimation of fuel use as well as vehicle travel. The longer-tenn module depends on demographic factors to a greater extent, but also on trends in key parameters such as ... continued below

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67 p.

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Greene, D.L.; Chin, Shih-Miao & Gibson, R. May 1, 1995.

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Description

This report describes a model for forecasting total US highway travel by all vehicle types, and its implementation in the form of a personal computer program. The model comprises a short-run, econometrically-based module for forecasting through the year 2000, as well as a structural, scenario-based longer term module for forecasting through 2030. The short-term module is driven primarily by economic variables. It includes a detailed vehicle stock model and permits the estimation of fuel use as well as vehicle travel. The longer-tenn module depends on demographic factors to a greater extent, but also on trends in key parameters such as vehicle load factors, and the dematerialization of GNP. Both passenger and freight vehicle movements are accounted for in both modules. The model has been implemented as a compiled program in the Fox-Pro database management system operating in the Windows environment.

Physical Description

67 p.

Notes

OSTI as DE95016397

Source

  • Other Information: PBD: May 1995

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  • Other: DE95016397
  • Report No.: ORNL--6872
  • Grant Number: AC05-84OR21400
  • DOI: 10.2172/97193 | External Link
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 97193
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc793281

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Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports

Reports, articles and other documents harvested from the Office of Scientific and Technical Information.

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI) is the Department of Energy (DOE) office that collects, preserves, and disseminates DOE-sponsored research and development (R&D) results that are the outcomes of R&D projects or other funded activities at DOE labs and facilities nationwide and grantees at universities and other institutions.

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Creation Date

  • May 1, 1995

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • Dec. 19, 2015, 7:14 p.m.

Description Last Updated

  • Jan. 21, 2016, 1:57 p.m.

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Greene, D.L.; Chin, Shih-Miao & Gibson, R. Aggregate vehicle travel forecasting model, report, May 1, 1995; Tennessee. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc793281/: accessed October 17, 2017), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.