Long-Term Global Trade-Offs Related to Nuclear Energy

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An overall comparative assessment of different energy systems and their potential long-term role in contributing to a sustainable energy mix is examined through the use of a global, long-term Energy, Economics, Environment (E{sup 3}) model. This model is used to generate a set of surprise-free futures that encompass a range of economic potentialities. The focus of this study is nuclear energy (NE), and the range of possible futures embodies extrema of NE growth [a Basic Option (BO)] to an NE Phase Out (PO). These NE scenario extrema are expressed against a background that reflects E{sup 3} circumstances ranging from a ... continued below

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Krakowski, R.A. August 25, 1999.

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Description

An overall comparative assessment of different energy systems and their potential long-term role in contributing to a sustainable energy mix is examined through the use of a global, long-term Energy, Economics, Environment (E{sup 3}) model. This model is used to generate a set of surprise-free futures that encompass a range of economic potentialities. The focus of this study is nuclear energy (NE), and the range of possible futures embodies extrema of NE growth [a Basic Option (BO)] to an NE Phase Out (PO). These NE scenario extrema are expressed against a background that reflects E{sup 3} circumstances ranging from a Business-As-Usual (BAU) to one that is Ecologically Driven (ED), with the latter emphasizing price-induced reductions in greenhouse-gas (GHG) emissions associate with a mix of fossil energy sources. Hence, four ''views-of-the-future'' scenarios emerge to form the framework of this study: BAU/BO, BAU/PO, ED/BO, and ED/PO. Model results ranging from (regional and temporal) primary- and nuclear-energy demands, carbon-dioxide emissions, nuclear-material (plutonium) accumulations and attendant proliferation-risk implications, Gross National Product (GNP) impacts, and a range of technology requirements provide essential input to the subject assessment.

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Medium: P; Size: vp.

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OSTI as DE00760450

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  • International Conference on Future Nuclear Systems, Global '99, Jackson, WY (US), 08/25/1999--09/03/1999

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  • Report No.: LA-UR-99-2638
  • Grant Number: W-7405-ENG-36
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 760450
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc724985

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  • August 25, 1999

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  • Sept. 29, 2015, 5:31 a.m.

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  • May 6, 2016, 1:36 p.m.

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Krakowski, R.A. Long-Term Global Trade-Offs Related to Nuclear Energy, article, August 25, 1999; New Mexico. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc724985/: accessed August 18, 2017), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.