Games With Estimation of Non-Damage Objectives

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Description

Games against nature illustrate the role of non-damage objectives in producing conflict with uncertain rewards and the role of probing and estimation in reducing that uncertainty and restoring optimal strategies. This note discusses two essential elements of the analysis of crisis stability omitted from current treatments based on first strike stability: the role of an objective that motivates conflicts sufficiently serious to lead to conflicts, and the process of sequential interactions that could cause those conflicts to deepen. Games against nature illustrate role of objectives and uncertainty that are at the core of detailed treatments of crisis stability. These models ... continued below

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16 p.

Creation Information

Canavan, G. H. September 14, 1998.

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Description

Games against nature illustrate the role of non-damage objectives in producing conflict with uncertain rewards and the role of probing and estimation in reducing that uncertainty and restoring optimal strategies. This note discusses two essential elements of the analysis of crisis stability omitted from current treatments based on first strike stability: the role of an objective that motivates conflicts sufficiently serious to lead to conflicts, and the process of sequential interactions that could cause those conflicts to deepen. Games against nature illustrate role of objectives and uncertainty that are at the core of detailed treatments of crisis stability. These models can also illustrate how these games processes can generate and deepen crises and the optimal strategies that might be used to end them. This note discusses two essential elements of the analysis of crisis stability that are omitted from current treatments based on first strike stability: anon-damage objective that motivates conflicts sufficiently serious to lead to conflicts, and the process of sequential tests that could cause those conflicts to deepen. The model used is a game against nature, simplified sufficiently to make the role of each of those elements obvious.

Physical Description

16 p.

Notes

OSTI as DE00763154

Medium: P; Size: 16 pages

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  • Other Information: PBD: 14 Sep 1998

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  • Report No.: LA-UR-98-4125
  • Grant Number: W-7405-ENG-36
  • DOI: 10.2172/763154 | External Link
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 763154
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc722560

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Reports, articles and other documents harvested from the Office of Scientific and Technical Information.

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Creation Date

  • September 14, 1998

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • Sept. 29, 2015, 5:31 a.m.

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  • Nov. 7, 2017, 6:24 p.m.

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Canavan, G. H. Games With Estimation of Non-Damage Objectives, report, September 14, 1998; New Mexico. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc722560/: accessed December 12, 2018), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.