Future market for ceramics in vehicle engines and their impacts

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Ceramic engine components have potential to improve vehicle fuel economy. Some recent tests have also shown their environmental benefits, particularly in reducing particulate emissions in heavy-duty diesel engines. The authors used the data from a survey of the US vehicle engine and component manufacturers relating to ceramic engine components to develop a set of market penetration models. The survey identified promising ceramic components and provided data on the timing of achieving introductory shares in light and heavy-duty markets. Some ceramic components will penetrate the market when the pilot-scale costs are reduced to one-fifth of their current values, and many more ... continued below

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22 p.

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Vyas, A.; Hanson, D. & Stodolsky, F. February 1995.

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  • Vyas, A.
  • Hanson, D. Argonne National Lab., IL (United States). Center for Transportation Research
  • Stodolsky, F. Argonne National Lab., IL (United States). Center for Transportation Research

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Description

Ceramic engine components have potential to improve vehicle fuel economy. Some recent tests have also shown their environmental benefits, particularly in reducing particulate emissions in heavy-duty diesel engines. The authors used the data from a survey of the US vehicle engine and component manufacturers relating to ceramic engine components to develop a set of market penetration models. The survey identified promising ceramic components and provided data on the timing of achieving introductory shares in light and heavy-duty markets. Some ceramic components will penetrate the market when the pilot-scale costs are reduced to one-fifth of their current values, and many more will enter the market when the costs are reduced to one-tenth of the current values. An ongoing ceramics research program sponsored by the US Department of Energy has the goal of achieving such price reductions. The size and value of the future ceramic components market and the impacts of this market in terms of fuel savings, reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, and potential reduction in other criteria pollutants are presented. The future ceramic components market will be 9 million components worth $29 million within 5 years of introduction and will expand to 692 million components worth $3,484 million within 20 years. The projected annual energy savings are 3.8 trillion Btu by 5 years, increasing to 526 trillion Btu during the twentieth year. These energy savings will reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 41 million tons during the twentieth year. Ceramic components will help reduce particulate emissions by 100 million tons in 2030 and save the nation`s urban areas $152 million. The paper presents the analytical approach and discusses other economic impacts.

Physical Description

22 p.

Notes

OSTI as DE95012403

Source

  • 2. world car conference, Riverside, CA (United States), 22-24 Jan 1995

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  • Other: DE95012403
  • Report No.: ANL/ES/CP--84456
  • Report No.: CONF-950186--1
  • Grant Number: W-31109-ENG-38
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 72943
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc712101

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Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports

Reports, articles and other documents harvested from the Office of Scientific and Technical Information.

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Creation Date

  • February 1995

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  • Sept. 12, 2015, 6:31 a.m.

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  • Dec. 15, 2015, 1 p.m.

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Vyas, A.; Hanson, D. & Stodolsky, F. Future market for ceramics in vehicle engines and their impacts, article, February 1995; Illinois. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc712101/: accessed October 19, 2017), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.