From here to efficiency : time lags between the introduction of new technology and the achievement of fuel savings.

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In this paper, the energy savings of new technology offering significant improvements in fuel efficiency are tracked for over 20 years as vehicles incorporating that technology enter the fleet and replace conventional light-duty vehicles. Two separate analyses are discussed: a life-cycle analysis of aluminum-intensive vehicles and a fuel-cycle analysis of the energy and greenhouse gas emissions of double vs. triple fuel-economy vehicles. In both efforts, market-penetration modeling is used to simulate the rate at which new technology enters the new fleet, and stock-adjustment modeling is used to capture the inertia in turnover of new and existing current-technology vehicles. Together, these ... continued below

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13 p.

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Mintz, M.; Vyas, A.; Wang, M.; Stodolsky, F.; Cuenca, R. & Gaines, L. December 3, 1999.

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Description

In this paper, the energy savings of new technology offering significant improvements in fuel efficiency are tracked for over 20 years as vehicles incorporating that technology enter the fleet and replace conventional light-duty vehicles. Two separate analyses are discussed: a life-cycle analysis of aluminum-intensive vehicles and a fuel-cycle analysis of the energy and greenhouse gas emissions of double vs. triple fuel-economy vehicles. In both efforts, market-penetration modeling is used to simulate the rate at which new technology enters the new fleet, and stock-adjustment modeling is used to capture the inertia in turnover of new and existing current-technology vehicles. Together, these two effects--slowed market penetration and delayed vehicle replacement--increase the time lag between market introduction and the achievement of substantial energy savings. In both cases, 15-20 years elapse, before savings approach these levels.

Physical Description

13 p.

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INIS; OSTI as DE00750494

Medium: P; Size: 13 pages

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  • 79th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC (US), 01/10/2000--01/13/2000

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  • Report No.: ANL/ES/CP-99859
  • Grant Number: W-31-109-ENG-38
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 750494
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc707232

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Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports

Reports, articles and other documents harvested from the Office of Scientific and Technical Information.

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI) is the Department of Energy (DOE) office that collects, preserves, and disseminates DOE-sponsored research and development (R&D) results that are the outcomes of R&D projects or other funded activities at DOE labs and facilities nationwide and grantees at universities and other institutions.

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  • December 3, 1999

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  • Sept. 12, 2015, 6:31 a.m.

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  • April 7, 2017, 1:14 p.m.

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Mintz, M.; Vyas, A.; Wang, M.; Stodolsky, F.; Cuenca, R. & Gaines, L. From here to efficiency : time lags between the introduction of new technology and the achievement of fuel savings., article, December 3, 1999; Illinois. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc707232/: accessed October 17, 2017), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.