Estimates of emergency operating capacity in U.S. manufacturing industries: 1994--2005

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To develop integrated policies for mobilization preparedness, planners require estimates and projections of available productive capacity during national emergency conditions. This report develops projections of national emergency operating capacity (EOC) for 458 US manufacturing industries at the 4-digit Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) level. These measures are intended for use in planning models that are designed to predict the demands for detailed industry sectors that would occur under conditions such as a military mobilization or a major national disaster. This report is part of an ongoing series of studies prepared by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to support mobilization planning studies ... continued below

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72 p.

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Belzer, D.B. February 1, 1997.

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Description

To develop integrated policies for mobilization preparedness, planners require estimates and projections of available productive capacity during national emergency conditions. This report develops projections of national emergency operating capacity (EOC) for 458 US manufacturing industries at the 4-digit Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) level. These measures are intended for use in planning models that are designed to predict the demands for detailed industry sectors that would occur under conditions such as a military mobilization or a major national disaster. This report is part of an ongoing series of studies prepared by the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to support mobilization planning studies of the Federal Emergency Planning Agency/US Department of Defense (FEMA/DOD). Earlier sets of EOC estimates were developed in 1985 and 1991. This study presents estimates of EOC through 2005. As in the 1991 study, projections of capacity were based upon extrapolations of equipment capital stocks. The methodology uses time series regression models based on industry data to obtain a response function of industry capital stock to levels of industrial output. The distributed lag coefficients of these response function are then used with projected outputs to extrapolate the 1994 level of EOC. Projections of industrial outputs were taken from the intermediate-term forecast of the US economy prepared by INFORUM (Interindustry Forecasting Model, University of Maryland) in the spring of 1996.

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72 p.

Notes

OSTI as DE97052026

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  • Other Information: PBD: Feb 1997

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  • Other: DE97052026
  • Report No.: PNNL--11511
  • Grant Number: AC06-76RL01830
  • DOI: 10.2172/481539 | External Link
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 481539
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc674811

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  • February 1, 1997

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • July 25, 2015, 2:21 a.m.

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  • April 6, 2016, 6:12 p.m.

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Belzer, D.B. Estimates of emergency operating capacity in U.S. manufacturing industries: 1994--2005, report, February 1, 1997; Richland, Washington. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc674811/: accessed May 21, 2018), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.