A probabilistic security risk assessment methodology for quantification of risk to the public

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Description

We describe a methodology for obtaining probabilistic risk estimates of deliberate unauthorized acts, integrating estimates of frequencies of serious plots, probabilities of avoiding detection and interdiction, probabilities of successful action, and consequences of the act. This methodology allows us to compare the risks of deliberate acts with those of accidents and to identify the most cost- effective risk reduction measures through cost-benefit analysis.

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6 p.

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Stephens, D; Futterman, J.A., Parziale, A.A.; Randazzo, A. & Warshawsky, A.S. January 19, 1996.

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Description

We describe a methodology for obtaining probabilistic risk estimates of deliberate unauthorized acts, integrating estimates of frequencies of serious plots, probabilities of avoiding detection and interdiction, probabilities of successful action, and consequences of the act. This methodology allows us to compare the risks of deliberate acts with those of accidents and to identify the most cost- effective risk reduction measures through cost-benefit analysis.

Physical Description

6 p.

Notes

OSTI as DE96005310

Source

  • 3. international conference on probabilistic safety assessment and management, Crete (Greece), 24-28 Jun 1996

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  • Other: DE96005310
  • Report No.: UCRL-JC--122784
  • Report No.: CONF-960647--2
  • Grant Number: W-7405-ENG-48
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 225058
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc670879

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Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports

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Creation Date

  • January 19, 1996

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • June 29, 2015, 9:42 p.m.

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  • Feb. 19, 2016, 8:39 p.m.

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Stephens, D; Futterman, J.A., Parziale, A.A.; Randazzo, A. & Warshawsky, A.S. A probabilistic security risk assessment methodology for quantification of risk to the public, article, January 19, 1996; California. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc670879/: accessed November 19, 2018), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.