Capacity planning in a transitional economy: What issues? Which models?

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This paper is devoted to an exploration of the important issues facing the Russian power generation system and its evolution in the foreseeable future and the kinds of modeling approaches that capture those issues. These issues include, for example, (1) trade-offs between investments in upgrading and refurbishment of existing thermal (fossil-fired) capacity and safety enhancements in existing nuclear capacity versus investment in new capacity, (2) trade-offs between investment in completing unfinished (under construction) projects based on their original design versus investment in new capacity with improved design, (3) incorporation of demand-side management options (investments in enhancing end-use efficiency, for example) ... continued below

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6 p.

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Mubayi, V.; Leigh, R.W. & Bright, R.N. March 1, 1996.

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Description

This paper is devoted to an exploration of the important issues facing the Russian power generation system and its evolution in the foreseeable future and the kinds of modeling approaches that capture those issues. These issues include, for example, (1) trade-offs between investments in upgrading and refurbishment of existing thermal (fossil-fired) capacity and safety enhancements in existing nuclear capacity versus investment in new capacity, (2) trade-offs between investment in completing unfinished (under construction) projects based on their original design versus investment in new capacity with improved design, (3) incorporation of demand-side management options (investments in enhancing end-use efficiency, for example) within the planning framework, (4) consideration of the spatial dimensions of system planning including investments in upgrading electric transmission networks or fuel shipment networks and incorporating hydroelectric generation, (5) incorporation of environmental constraints and (6) assessment of uncertainty and evaluation of downside risk. Models for exploring these issues include low power shutdown (LPS) which are computationally very efficient, though approximate, and can be used to perform extensive sensitivity analyses to more complex models which can provide more detailed answers but are computationally cumbersome and can only deal with limited issues. The paper discusses which models can usefully treat a wide range of issues within the priorities facing decision makers in the Russian power sector and integrate the results with investment decisions in the wider economy.

Physical Description

6 p.

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OSTI as DE96008213

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  • ICONE 4: ASME/JSME international conference on nuclear engineering, New Orleans, LA (United States), 10-13 Mar 1996

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  • Other: DE96008213
  • Report No.: BNL--62555
  • Report No.: CONF-960306--17
  • Grant Number: AC02-76CH00016
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 221937
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc666253

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  • March 1, 1996

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  • June 29, 2015, 9:42 p.m.

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  • Dec. 17, 2015, 12:34 p.m.

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Mubayi, V.; Leigh, R.W. & Bright, R.N. Capacity planning in a transitional economy: What issues? Which models?, article, March 1, 1996; Upton, New York. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc666253/: accessed September 20, 2017), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.