Quantification of uncertain outcomes from site characterization: Insights from the ESF-AS

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Description

As part of the Exploratory Studies Facility Alternatives Study (ESF-AS) the uncertain outcomes from site characterization were quantified using a probabilistic tree known as ``Nature`s Tree.`` Nature`s Tree distinguished the true characteristics of the Yucca Mountain site from the perceived characteristics deduced from testing. Bayesian probabilistic calculations converted probabilities in Nature`s Tree to the probabilistic estimates required for the comparative analysis of Exploratory Studies Facility-repository options. Experts on characterization testing explicitly addressed several site characterization issues that are considered implicitly in many site characterization programs.

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9 p.

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Boyle, W.J.; Parrish, D.K. & Beccue, P.C. January 1, 1992.

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This article is part of the collection entitled: Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports and was provided by UNT Libraries Government Documents Department to Digital Library, a digital repository hosted by the UNT Libraries. More information about this article can be viewed below.

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  • Sandia National Laboratories
    Publisher Info: Sandia National Labs., Albuquerque, NM (United States)
    Place of Publication: Albuquerque, New Mexico

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Description

As part of the Exploratory Studies Facility Alternatives Study (ESF-AS) the uncertain outcomes from site characterization were quantified using a probabilistic tree known as ``Nature`s Tree.`` Nature`s Tree distinguished the true characteristics of the Yucca Mountain site from the perceived characteristics deduced from testing. Bayesian probabilistic calculations converted probabilities in Nature`s Tree to the probabilistic estimates required for the comparative analysis of Exploratory Studies Facility-repository options. Experts on characterization testing explicitly addressed several site characterization issues that are considered implicitly in many site characterization programs.

Physical Description

9 p.

Notes

INIS; OSTI as DE92004893

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  • 3. international high level radioactive waste management (IHLRWM) conference, Las Vegas, NV (United States), 12-16 Apr 1992

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  • Other: DE92004893
  • Report No.: SAND--91-7039C
  • Report No.: CONF-920430--6
  • Grant Number: AC04-76DP00789
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 138291
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc619256

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Creation Date

  • January 1, 1992

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • June 16, 2015, 7:43 a.m.

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  • April 14, 2016, 8:04 p.m.

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Boyle, W.J.; Parrish, D.K. & Beccue, P.C. Quantification of uncertain outcomes from site characterization: Insights from the ESF-AS, article, January 1, 1992; Albuquerque, New Mexico. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc619256/: accessed September 22, 2017), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.