Determinants of International Terrorist Group Formation, 1968-1999

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Terrorism has become a focus of much political thought over the past few years, and with good reason, yet most quantitative studies of terrorism investigate the likelihood of a terrorist incident while ignoring the precursors to terrorist group formation. I examine cases of new terrorist group formations between the years 1968 and 1999 as a function of domestic demographic, geographic, governmental and societal factors. This is done by Poisson regression analysis, which determines the significance of the independent variables on a count of new international terrorist group formations per country year. The results indicate that higher levels of material government ... continued below

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Worrell, Blake December 2007.

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  • Worrell, Blake

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Terrorism has become a focus of much political thought over the past few years, and with good reason, yet most quantitative studies of terrorism investigate the likelihood of a terrorist incident while ignoring the precursors to terrorist group formation. I examine cases of new terrorist group formations between the years 1968 and 1999 as a function of domestic demographic, geographic, governmental and societal factors. This is done by Poisson regression analysis, which determines the significance of the independent variables on a count of new international terrorist group formations per country year. The results indicate that higher levels of material government capability, high levels of political freedom, the availability of low-cost refuge, and a cultural tradition of terrorism all have a positive impact on the number of new terrorist group formations, while a higher degree of governmental durability has a negative impact.

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  • December 2007

Start & End Dates

  • 1968 - 1999

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • May 2, 2008, 3:21 p.m.

Description Last Updated

  • April 11, 2016, 3:39 p.m.

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Worrell, Blake. Determinants of International Terrorist Group Formation, 1968-1999, thesis, December 2007; Denton, Texas. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc5107/: accessed September 23, 2018), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; .