The Blessed and the Damned: Peacemakers, Warlords, and Post Civil War Democracy Page: v
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
DEDICATION AND ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS.....................................................................iii
L IST O F T A B L E S ......................................................................................................................vii
Chapter
1. THE BLESSED AND THE DAMNED: AN INTRODUCTION ..................... 1
2. PREV IOU S RESEA RCH .................................................................................... 4
2.1 Process Theory and Post Civil War Democratization......................... ... 4
2.2 The Post Civil W ar Peace Process ........................................................... 8
3. WARLORD CHOICES: AN UPDATED THEORY OF POST CIVIL WAR
D EM O CRA TIZA TION ..................................................................................... 11
3.1 The W arlord's D ilem m a......................................................................... 11
3.1.1 The International Environment.................................................. 17
3.2 Conditions for Post-Conflict Democracy: Hypotheses........................... 18
3.2.1 The Importance of a Negotiated Settlement ............................... 19
3.2.2 The Need for Credible Commitments......................................... 20
3.2.3 D em obilization........................................................................... 23
3.2.4 Cooperative International Environment...................................... 24
3.2.5 "National Unity," Identity Conflicts, and Structural Conditions:
C ontrol V ariables ....................................................................... 25
4. RESEARCH DESIGN AND ANALYSIS ........................................................ 27
4.1 Data: Case Selection and Choice of Analysis......................................... 28
4.2 Operationalization of the Variables ....................................................... 29
4.2.1 D em ocracy ................................................................................. 29
4.2.2 Specification and Operationalization of Causal Variables ......... 30
4.2.3 Specification and Operationalization of Control Variables........ 33
4.3 Model Specification................................... 34
4.4 Em pirical A nalysis ............................................................................... 34
4.5 D iscussion of the Theory ..................................................................... 40
5. CONCLUSION............................................ 42
5.1 Direction of Future Research............................. 43
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Wright, Thorin M. The Blessed and the Damned: Peacemakers, Warlords, and Post Civil War Democracy, thesis, August 2007; Denton, Texas. (https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc3901/m1/6/: accessed April 17, 2024), University of North Texas Libraries, UNT Digital Library, https://digital.library.unt.edu; .