Forecasting Future Events Affecting One Institution of Higher Education in the State of Texas: A Delphi Application Page: 2
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Bollinger, Julie R., Forecasting Future Events Affect-
ing One Institution of Higher Education in the State of Texas:
A Delphi Application. Doctor of Philosophy (Higher Educa-
tion) , December, 1987, 134 pp., 7 tables, bibliography, 58
titles.
The purpose of this study was to investigate the
possible events in the external environment between 1987 and
1997 that may affect the future of North Texas State Univer-
sity. Two groups of experts participated in the study, a
group of individuals from outside North Texas State Univer-
sity and a group of experts from the university. Six ques-
tionnaires were developed to accomplish the purposes of this
study.
A modified version of the Delphi technique was used to
obtain a consensus on the most important events in the
external environment that may affect the future of North
Texas State University. A probability-impact matrix was
used to estimate the (1) probability of occurrence and (2)
the overall positive and negative effect that each event
may have on various areas of the institution. A mathematical
model called Decision Theory was then used to analyze the
results.
Ninety—seven events, trends and issues were forecasted
j-jy -the experts. The forecast reveals that Texas state taxes
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Bollinger, Julie R., 1952-. Forecasting Future Events Affecting One Institution of Higher Education in the State of Texas: A Delphi Application, dissertation, December 1987; Denton, Texas. (https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc331648/m1/2/: accessed April 25, 2024), University of North Texas Libraries, UNT Digital Library, https://digital.library.unt.edu; .