Estimating Safety Probabilities from Fallout Forecasts for Nevada Test Site

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Description

Abstract: "Available data on wind persistence and wind forecasting capability have been applied in estimating the probability of a fallout pattern shifting from an uninhabited safe sector into a populated region. Safety probability is computed from win variability, forecasting accuracy, initial height and particle size of radioactivity landing at a point in the predicted fallout pattern, predicted wind speed, length of forecast period, and safe-sector angular width."

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26 p., some folded : ill. ; 28 cm.

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Reed, Jack W. July 1, 1960.

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Description

Abstract: "Available data on wind persistence and wind forecasting capability have been applied in estimating the probability of a fallout pattern shifting from an uninhabited safe sector into a populated region. Safety probability is computed from win variability, forecasting accuracy, initial height and particle size of radioactivity landing at a point in the predicted fallout pattern, predicted wind speed, length of forecast period, and safe-sector angular width."

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26 p., some folded : ill. ; 28 cm.

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"February 1957. Reprinted July 1, 1960."

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Technical Report Archive and Image Library

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  • July 1, 1960

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  • Sept. 15, 2016, 11:48 p.m.

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Reed, Jack W. Estimating Safety Probabilities from Fallout Forecasts for Nevada Test Site, report, July 1, 1960; [Albuquerque, New Mexico]. (https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc304186/: accessed April 12, 2026), University of North Texas Libraries, UNT Digital Library, https://digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.

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