UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles: St Lucia Page: 3
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Additional Regional Climate Change Information
* Model simulations show wide disagreements in projected changes in the amplitude of future
El Nino events, contributing to uncertainty in future climate variability in projections for this
* The Caribbean islands are vulnerable to sea-level rise. Sea-level in this region is projected by
climate models to rise by the following levels4 by the 2090s, relative to 1980-1999 sea-level:
o 0.13 to 0.43m under SRES B1
o 0.16 to 0.53m under SRES A1B
o 0.18 to 0.56m under SRES A2
* For further information see Christensen et al. (2007) IPCC Working Group I Report: 'The
Physical Science Basis', Chapter 11 (Regional Climate projections): Sections 11.6 (South and
Central America), and 11.9 (Small Islands).
4 Taken from the IPCC Working group I (The Physical Science Basis) Chapter 10 (Global Climate Projections) (Meehl etal, 2007) Regional
sea level projections are estimated by applying regional adjustments (Fig 10 32, p813) to projected global mean sea level rise from 14 AR4
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McSweeney, C.; New, M. & Lizcano, G. UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles: St Lucia, text, January 2006; 304 East 45th Street, Fl. 9 New York, NY 10017. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc226743/m1/3/: accessed September 21, 2018), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; .