Environmental Disasters and Subnational Conflict: A Study on the Effects of Environmental Disasters and Environmentally-Induced Migration on Subnational Conflict

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Paper examines the effect of migration precipitated by environmental disasters on the likelihood of conflict in host communities.

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50 p.

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Manglaris, Angela 2012.

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This article is part of the collection entitled: The Eagle Feather and was provided by the UNT Libraries to the UNT Digital Library, a digital repository hosted by the UNT Libraries. More information about this article can be viewed below.

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Paper examines the effect of migration precipitated by environmental disasters on the likelihood of conflict in host communities.

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50 p.

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Abstract: As climate change progresses, the alteration of weather patterns will invariably follow, leading to an increase in the frequency and magnitude of natural disasters. However, the effects that changes in weather patterns will have on human population and conflict is not yet clear. This study argues that the occurrence of an environmental disaster will induce intrastate migration among those who reside in the affected area. Environmentally-induced migration, in turn, will lead to the presence of low-level civil conflict within the state as large numbers of migrants rapidly enter a host community and alter resource availability, economic conditions, and cultural composition. Through the use of a negative binomial regression, this study analyzes the relationship between environmentally-induced migration and the onset of conflict at the subnational level in 27 Indian states from 1956 to 2002 and 98 sub-provincial units on the island of Java in Indonesia from 1994 to 2003. The results indicate areas struck by environmental disasters and probable environmental migrant destinations are associated with conflict in India; however, the significance of migration locations decreases as control factors are added into the equation while disasters remain significant. These results differ from the findings in the Indonesia case where neither disasters nor probable migration locations are strongly associated with conflict. This indicates disasters are related to causes of conflict at the subnational level, but also that institutions of the state play a major role in the occurrence of conflict following disasters.

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  • Eagle Feather, Issue 9, University of North Texas Honors College: Denton, Texas. 2012

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  • Publication Title: Eagle Feather
  • Volume: 9
  • Issue: 2012
  • Peer Reviewed: Yes

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The Eagle Feather

Launched in 2004 by UNT's Honors College, The Eagle Feather was an interdisciplinary undergraduate research journal that promoted the work of students and their faculty mentors. The Eagle Feather was published annually until 2017 when it transitioned into the North Texas Journal of Undergraduate Research.

UNT Undergraduate Student Works

This collection presents scholarly and artistic content created by undergraduate students. All materials have been previously accepted by a professional organization or approved by a faculty mentor. Most classroom assignments are not eligible for inclusion. The collection includes, but is not limited to Honors College theses, thesis supplemental files, professional presentations, articles, and posters. Some items in this collection are restricted to use by the UNT community.

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  • 2012

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • April 22, 2020, 5:45 p.m.

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  • May 11, 2020, 10:45 a.m.

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Manglaris, Angela. Environmental Disasters and Subnational Conflict: A Study on the Effects of Environmental Disasters and Environmentally-Induced Migration on Subnational Conflict, article, 2012; Denton, Texas. (https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc1635183/: accessed June 25, 2021), University of North Texas Libraries, UNT Digital Library, https://digital.library.unt.edu; .

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