Research activities of Martin C. Casdagli at SFI September 1989--May 1991

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My research over this period has focused on the theory and application of non-linear time series forecasting. The purpose of time series forecasting is to predict apparently random behavior about which we have little or no knowledge. A time series is a set of values that change in time, for example, daily stock market prices for a given set of firms, or the volume of the polar ice caps over the last two million years. Recent developments in the understanding of chaotic dynamical systems have stimulated new approaches to time series analysis. These results raise the possibility that apparently random ... continued below

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3 p.

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Creator: Unknown. December 31, 1993.

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Description

My research over this period has focused on the theory and application of non-linear time series forecasting. The purpose of time series forecasting is to predict apparently random behavior about which we have little or no knowledge. A time series is a set of values that change in time, for example, daily stock market prices for a given set of firms, or the volume of the polar ice caps over the last two million years. Recent developments in the understanding of chaotic dynamical systems have stimulated new approaches to time series analysis. These results raise the possibility that apparently random behavior may essentially be the consequence of chaotic behavior of deterministic equations with a small number of variables. My main research effort has been to develop a theory of nonlinear time series forecasting which applies to chaotic time series with low levels of observational noise. I have also developed a new algorithm for analyzing experimental time series data in order to determine whether a nonlinear deterministic, as opposed to nonlinear stochastic model is an appropriate description of the data, and have applied this algorithm to a wide range of time series data. In addition to involvement in these and other research activities, I have helped organize a conference on nonlinear modeling and forecasting, jointly sponsored by NATO and SFI. I describe the above projects in more detail in the following paragraphs. Several of these projects benefited greatly fro the excellent computer facilities available at SFI.

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3 p.

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OSTI as DE94005655; Paper copy available at OSTI: phone, 865-576-8401, or email, reports@adonis.osti.gov

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  • Other Information: PBD: [1993]

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  • Other: DE94005655
  • Report No.: LA-SUB--93-223
  • Grant Number: W-7405-ENG-36
  • DOI: 10.2172/10116969 | External Link
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 10116969
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc1275784

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  • December 31, 1993

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  • Oct. 12, 2018, 6:44 a.m.

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  • Nov. 29, 2018, 7:02 p.m.

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Research activities of Martin C. Casdagli at SFI September 1989--May 1991, report, December 31, 1993; United States. (https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc1275784/: accessed May 19, 2019), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, https://digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.