Aspects of uncertainty analysis in accident consequence modeling

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Mathematical models are frequently used to determine probable dose to man from an accidental release of radionuclides by a nuclear facility. With increased emphasis on the accuracy of these models, the incorporation of uncertainty analysis has become one of the most crucial and sensitive components in evaluating the significance of model predictions. In the present paper, we address three aspects of uncertainty in models used to assess the radiological impact to humans: uncertainties resulting from the natural variability in human biological parameters; the propagation of parameter variability by mathematical models; and comparison of model predictions to observational data.

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Pages: 4

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Travis, C.C. & Hoffman, F.O. January 1, 1981.

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Description

Mathematical models are frequently used to determine probable dose to man from an accidental release of radionuclides by a nuclear facility. With increased emphasis on the accuracy of these models, the incorporation of uncertainty analysis has become one of the most crucial and sensitive components in evaluating the significance of model predictions. In the present paper, we address three aspects of uncertainty in models used to assess the radiological impact to humans: uncertainties resulting from the natural variability in human biological parameters; the propagation of parameter variability by mathematical models; and comparison of model predictions to observational data.

Physical Description

Pages: 4

Notes

NTIS, PC A02/MF A01.

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  • American Nuclear Society's annual meeting, Miami Beach, FL, USA, 7 Jun 1981

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  • Other: DE81024910
  • Report No.: CONF-810606-43
  • Grant Number: W-7405-ENG-26
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 6232220
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc1113724

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Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports

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Creation Date

  • January 1, 1981

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • Feb. 22, 2018, 7:45 p.m.

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  • May 11, 2018, 12:22 p.m.

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Travis, C.C. & Hoffman, F.O. Aspects of uncertainty analysis in accident consequence modeling, article, January 1, 1981; Tennessee. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc1113724/: accessed October 19, 2018), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.