Framework for analyzing safeguards alarms and response decisions

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Description

This paper describes a quantitative approach to help evaluate and respond to safeguards alarms. These alrms may be generated internally by a facility's safeguards systems or externally by individuals claiming to possess stolen Special Nuclear Material (SNM). This approach can be used to identify the most likely cause of an alarm - theft, hoax, or error - and to evaluate alternative responses to alarms. Possible responses include conducting investigations, initiating measures to recover stolen SNM, and replying to external threats. Based on the results of each alarm investigation step, the evaluation revises the likelihoods of possible causes of an alarm, ... continued below

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Pages: 8

Creation Information

Al-Ayat, R.A.; Judd, B.R. & McCord, R.K. June 11, 1982.

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Description

This paper describes a quantitative approach to help evaluate and respond to safeguards alarms. These alrms may be generated internally by a facility's safeguards systems or externally by individuals claiming to possess stolen Special Nuclear Material (SNM). This approach can be used to identify the most likely cause of an alarm - theft, hoax, or error - and to evaluate alternative responses to alarms. Possible responses include conducting investigations, initiating measures to recover stolen SNM, and replying to external threats. Based on the results of each alarm investigation step, the evaluation revises the likelihoods of possible causes of an alarm, and uses this information to determine the optimal sequence of further responses. The choice of an optimal sequence of responses takes into consideration the costs and benefits of successful thefts or hoaxes. These results provide an analytical basis for setting priorities and developing contingency plans for responding to safeguards alarms.

Physical Description

Pages: 8

Notes

NTIS, PC A02/MF A01.

Source

  • Institute of Nuclear Materials meeting, Washington, DC, USA, 19 Jul 1982

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  • Other: DE82016784
  • Report No.: UCRL-86215
  • Report No.: CONF-820713-9
  • Grant Number: W-7405-ENG-48
  • Office of Scientific & Technical Information Report Number: 5358985
  • Archival Resource Key: ark:/67531/metadc1074563

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Office of Scientific & Technical Information Technical Reports

Reports, articles and other documents harvested from the Office of Scientific and Technical Information.

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI) is the Department of Energy (DOE) office that collects, preserves, and disseminates DOE-sponsored research and development (R&D) results that are the outcomes of R&D projects or other funded activities at DOE labs and facilities nationwide and grantees at universities and other institutions.

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Creation Date

  • June 11, 1982

Added to The UNT Digital Library

  • Feb. 4, 2018, 10:51 a.m.

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  • March 29, 2018, 1:02 p.m.

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Al-Ayat, R.A.; Judd, B.R. & McCord, R.K. Framework for analyzing safeguards alarms and response decisions, article, June 11, 1982; United States. (digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc1074563/: accessed August 15, 2018), University of North Texas Libraries, Digital Library, digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.