Are Net Discount Ratios Stationary?: The Implications For Present Value Calculations
Date: September 1991
Creator: Haslag, Joseph H.; Nieswiadomy, Michael L. & Slottje, Daniel J.
Description: Abstract: This article analyzes the relationship between real interest rates and real growth rates in wages. The stationary of these time series has been discussed in the literature. However, since the net discount ratio, (1 + gτ)/(1 + rτ), is a nonlinear transformation, it is not necessarily stationary even if the interest rate and growth rate in wages series are each stationary. On the other hand, the net discount ratio may be stationary even if the interest rate and growth rate series are both non-stationary. The significant finding of this article is that this ratio is stationary. This conclusion appears robust since it holds for at least four different Treasury securities analyzed: three month, six month, one year, and three year. Therefore, a real net discount ratio, (1 + gτ)/(1 + rτ), can be used with confidence in constructing present value forecasts of expected earnings.
Contributing Partner: UNT College of Arts and Sciences
Permallink:digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc71790/
Calculating Changes in Worklife Expectancies and Lost Earnings in Personal Injury Cases
Date: September 1988
Creator: Nieswiadomy, Michael L. & Silberberg, Eugene
Description: This article discusses calculating changes in worklife expectancies and lost earnings in personal injury cases. Abstract: This paper utilizes the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) new worklife tables' information on workforce participation probabilities to estimate the effect of an injury on a worker's life expectancy, worklife expectancy and discounted expected income. After a medical opinion has been obtained concerning the effect of an injury on a worker's probabilities of living and remaining active, the BLS's probability figures can be adjusted and incorporated into a Markov process to estimate the impact of the injury. It is shown that Alter and Becker's technique can be adapted to estimate the present value of the lost expected income.
Contributing Partner: UNT College of Arts and Sciences
Permallink:digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc71789/
Are Net Discount Rates Stationary?: Some Further Evidence
Date: September 1994
Creator: Haslag, Joseph H.; Nieswiadomy, Michael L. & Slottje, Daniel J.
Description: This article discusses net discount rates. Abstract: Gamber and Sorensen provide evidence suggesting that the net discount ratio experienced a level shift in the mean between 1977 and 1981. If such a shift occurred, the nonlinearity in the data shows up as a failure to reject the null hypothesis that a unit root is present; that is, the series is I(1). In this reply, evidence is presented - the Phillips-Perron test and a univariate version of the Stock-Watson q-test - suggesting that the net discount ratio is stationary. Hence, the mean is constant. In addition, if one extends the analysis to include the 1989 through 1993 period, the net discount ratio appears to be reverting.
Contributing Partner: UNT College of Arts and Sciences
Permallink:digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc71791/
Urban Water Demand Estimates Under Increasing Block Rates
Date: 1988
Creator: Nieswiadomy, Michael L. & Molina, David J.
Description: This article discusses urban water demand estimates under increasing block rates. A residential water demand equation is estimated using the only data set on water consumption that contains time series (monthly) observations on individual customers facing an increasing block rate schedule. Because the price of water both determines, and is determined by, usage, ordinary least squares estimation will yield biased estimates. Thus, two-stage least squares and instrumental variables techniques are used. The estimated coefficients on lawn size, weather, house size, and income have the expected signs and are statistically significant. However, there is not any significant response to changes in water price, perhaps due to the relatively low cost of water.
Contributing Partner: UNT College of Arts and Sciences
Permallink:digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc71792/
Input Substitution in Irrigated Agriculture in the High Plains of Texas, 1970-80
Date: July 1988
Creator: Nieswiadomy, Michael L.
Description: This article discusses input substitution in irrigated agriculture in the high plains of Texas. Abstract: The adaptability of irrigated agriculture in the High Plains region of Texas in the 1970-80 period is analyzed by estimating Allen partial elasticities of substitution for five key inputs (water, labor, center pivot, furrow, and wheel roll systems) used to produce two crops (cotton and grain sorghum). The results indicate that farmers have adapted to changes in a manner generally consistent with prior expectations concerning complementarity and substitutability among inputs. The output-constant price elasticity of water demand was statistically significant but relatively small (-.25).
Contributing Partner: UNT College of Arts and Sciences
Permallink:digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc71788/
U.S. Mexico Migration
Date: April 13, 2011
Creator: Molina, David J.
Description: This presentation is part of the faculty lecture series UNT Speaks Out on Unauthorized Immigration. This presentation discusses immigration, specifically between the United States and Mexico.
Contributing Partner: UNT College of Arts and Sciences
Permallink:digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc33118/