Annual Energy Outlook 2010: With Projections to 2035 Page: 99 of 231
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Comparison with Other Projections
and regulations will continue through the projection
period as enacted, whereas some of the other projec-
tions assume the enactment of new public policy over
the next 25 years. For example, the results of the
Altos projection reflect the inclusion of carbon mitiga-
tion legislation.
All but two of the projections (Altos and EVA) show
an initial decline and subsequent increase in natural
gas consumption from 2008 levels, but they differ in
terms of when, between 2015 and 2025, 2008 levelsare regained. The INFORUM projection for 2015 is
1.2 to 2.1 trillion cubic feet lower than the others but
recovers quickly by 2025. With the exception of the
SEER projection, which shows a decline in natural
gas consumption from 2025 to 2030, total natural gas
consumption grows in spite of increasing prices in the
later years of all the projections. Altos and EVA show
natural gas consumption exceeding 2008 levels by
2010 and continuing to increase at much more rapid
rates than in the other projections.Table 13. Comparison of natural gas projections, 2015, 2025, and 2035 (trillion cubic feet, except where noted)
AE02010 Other projections
Projection 2008 Reference
case IHSGI EVA DR SEER Altos INFORUMDry gas production a
Net imports
Pipeline
LNG
Consumption
Residential
Commercial
Industrial c
Electricity generators d
Other e
Lower 48 wellhead price (20
per thousand cubic feet) f
End-use prices (2008 dollars
Residential
Commercial
Industrial 9
Electricity generatorsDry gas production a
Net imports
Pipeline
LNG
Consumption
Residential
Commercial
Industrial c
Electricity generators d
Other e
Lower 48 wellhead price (2008
per thousand cubic feet) f
End-use prices (2008 dollars pe
Residential
Commercial
Industrial 9
Electricity generators20.56 19.29
2.95 2.38
2.65 1.29
0.30 1.09
23.25 21.74
4.87 4.71
3.12 3.23
6.65 6.88
6.66 5.18
1.95 1.73
)8 dollars
8.07 5.70
per thousand cubic feet)
13.87 11.89
12.29 10.28
9.38 6.63
9.34 6.2420.56
2.95
2.65
0.30
23.25
4.87
3.12
6.65
6.66
1.95
dollars
8.07
r thousand
13.87
12.29
9.38
9.3421.31
2.17
0.89
1.28
23.57
4.89
3.45
6.94
6.28
2.00
6.35
cubic feet)
12.65
11.01
7.22
6.94- = not reported. See notes and sources at end of table.
U.S. Energy Information Administration / Annual Energy Outlook 2010
19.19
3.79
0.47
3.32
24.18 b
4.75
3.18
6.41
9.8319.71
4.12
18.86 b
4.76
3.16
6.35
4.602015
19.29
3.48
5.772025
20.63
2.6524.47
4.84
2.65
2.19
24.84
5.07
3.21
6.84
7.62
2.09
6.4024.41
2.89
2.52
0.37
27.84
5.16
3.28
7.55
9.49
2.366.06
22.63
2.43
1.62
0.81
22.63
4.71
3.05
6.24
6.74
1.90
5.73
12.15
10.51
8.01
6.44
21.91
2.34
1.42
0.92
24.22
4.62
3.06
6.34
8.12
2.07
5.87
12.08
10.49
8.10
6.5720.01
2.73
1.83
0.90
22.80
4.87
3.14
6.23
6.73
1.84
5.34
12.26
11.08
7.11
6.70
22.30
2.18
1.25
0.93
24.35
4.90
3.41
6.55
7.51
1.99
5.90
12.96
11.87
7.70
8.8727.23
3.67
-1.42
5.09
27.72
4.85
3.33
6.47
13.0820.93
5.77
21.82 b
4.86
3.24
6.93
6.817.31 8.42
7.01
90
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United States. Energy Information Administration. Annual Energy Outlook 2010: With Projections to 2035, report, April 2010; [Washington D.C.]. (https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc949175/m1/99/?q=%22energy%22: accessed June 10, 2024), University of North Texas Libraries, UNT Digital Library, https://digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Libraries Government Documents Department.