Implications of Electronic Mail and Message Systems for the U.S. Postal Service

Ch. 4-Market Penetration Results . 4 7

Figure 8.-Generation II EMS Market Projections

1
fN
N
\

*/
*1
i/I
/11
/'I'1/ .. '

a
w
a
w
0
o1(
(-
198

./ .

Yer
Yegr

FICA EMS
OTA very high (3%)
..- OTA very high (2%)
*" High but plausible (3%)
" " 'Moderate (3%)
" .*-" High but plausible (2%)
" - Moderate (2%)
SOTA slow (2%)
( ) underlying malistream
growth rate

2000

Generation II EMS growth
RCA EMSS projections .......
OTA high but plausible .......
OTA very high ...............
OTA moderate ..............
OTA high but plausible ......
OTA very high ...............
OTA moderate ..............
OTAslow ..................

Underlying
mainstream
growth
rate

(3%)
(3%)
(3%)
(2%)
(2%)
(2%)
(2%)

Generation II EMS volume
(billions of pieces)
1985 1990 1995 2000
2.50 12.00 23.00 25.00
2.72 10.27 18.45 16.82
3.60 20.15 32.84 23.30
0.07 1.90 11.97 16.69
2.51 9.05 15.48 13.43
3.36 17.75 27.54 18.61
0.06 1.67 10.04 13.33
0.04 0.62 2.90 6.67

SOURCE: Office of Technology Assessment and RCA.

1990

I

/-
/:/
.

United States. Congress. Office of Technology Assessment. Implications of Electronic Mail and Message Systems for the U.S. Postal Service. UNT Digital Library. http://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc39480/. Accessed December 19, 2014.